National Wind Coordinating Committee
National Wind Coordinating Committee
National Wind Coordinating Committee
National Wind Coordinating Collaborative

Business Meeting #28

Proposed Resolution in Support of a Web-based TRC Simulation for the NWCC

May 21, 2002
The Couer d’Alene Resort

115 South Second Street
PO Box Office 7200
Couer d’Alene, Idaho 83814
(800) 688-5253 or (208) 765-4000

Background

Trading renewable certificates is a new concept to some, but even to those more knowledgeable, the details of market dynamics may still be a mystery. Trading is already occurring, in voluntary retail sales and in mandatory demand (RPS) markets. If certificate trading is to expand, and the resulting benefits to wind power accrue, markets will need to be larger, more transparent and more liquid, and be supported by tracking and verification systems that work across state and regional boundaries.

There is a lot of discussion about facilitating tradable renewable certificates (TRCs).

  • The NWCC Credit Trading project has identified Opportunities and Guidelines for trading.
  • The NWCC is working to identify education and outreach opportunities with energy and environmental regulators to gain their support for policies facilitating wind energy and TRCs.
  • Green-e has adopted a standard for certifying TRCs, and two products have been certified so far.
  • The Texas RPS requires TRCs for compliance, and the state has established a tracking system, but not a trading platform, to facilitate trading.
  • The NEPOOL Generation Information System has just been completed, enabling the tracking of all generation in the region, including TRCs for marketing green power products, for electricity labeling or disclosure purposes, and for tracking compliance with state RPSs and generation or emission portfolio standards.
  • The Center for Resource Solutions is spearheading the development of an American Association of Issuing Bodies, modeled after the European Association of Issuing Bodies, to standardize protocols for tracking systems and to facilitate interregional and international TRC trade.

There are several things still missing, including the establishment of regional Issuing Bodies that will support cross-boundary trade, and real market experience to understand the effects of different market drivers and policies on the supply of, demand for, and price of TRCs. It is to this latter point that this proposed resolution is addressed.

European infrastructure and planning for TRCs is much more advanced than in the US. With funding from the European Union, a team of contractors from several countries undertook the European Renewable Electricity Certificate Trading Project (RECerT). Key elements included:

  • Website creation <http://recert.energyprojects.net>  
  • Structured reviews of renewable energy support policies and the status and prospects for tradable instrument schemes in 15 EU countries and Norway.
  • Estimation of the potential size and value of the TRC market in Europe.
  • Controlled experiments exploring TRC market parameters, using computer aided economic simulation.
  • Adaptation of a manual trading simulation game for use in workshops.
  • Day-long workshops held in 15 countries to examine TRC developments.
  • An international conference on TRC development.
  • Cost-benefit analysis of TRC trading compared to other options for supporting renewable energy development.
  • Design of a complex Europe-wide TRC trading simulation, incorporating elements of actual TRC trading schemes being developed in EU Member States.
  • Running the TRC simulation through a live, real-time, Internet-enabled trading platform, providing feedback to participants and disseminating the results.
  • Review of related non-TRC market developments to draw lessons for effective TRC market design.
  • Final workshop in collaboration with other TRC projects.
  • Information dissemination through publications and conferences.

The European simulation exercise (called RECerT-sim) included over 140 participants from 16 countries. Participants took the parts of virtual generators (supplying certificates to the market), virtual consumers such as retail energy service providers (buying certificates from the market) and virtual traders. The simulation compressed ten years of trading activity into ten short periods using an Internet-based trading platform developed for the purpose. The demand-side parameters reflected some of the complexity emerging in the market for TRCs, with demand differentiated by size of renewables obligation (e.g., RPS), penalties for non-compliance with RPS, technology exclusions (e.g., no large hydro), banking of certificates, and different validity periods for certificates. On the supply-side participants invested in new capacity all over the EU, in a variety of technologies, based on an economic model and constrained by rate of investment and speed of build.

This experience inspired the following proposal.

Proposed Resolution

It is the sense of the NWCC [Green Power Marketing and Credit Trading Work Group] that a sophisticated, web-based TRC trading simulation should be undertaken in the US involving many participants across the country.

The objectives of such a simulation are as follows:

  • Provide a learning tool for renewable electricity generators, electricity retailers, investors, energy traders, policy makers and advisers, and NGOs.
  • Illustrate how TRCs can be created, traded and consumed to support renewable energy growth in the US at least cost.
  • Give insight into the risks and benefits of interregional and international TRC trade to policy makers, energy and environmental regulators, generators, retailers and the electricity sector in general.
  • Illustrate the operation of a TRC exchange and demonstrate how market participants can mange risks through the use of forward contracts in conjunction with spot market trading.

To ensure that the organizing the simulation does not confer competitive advantage to a commercial interest, and to ensure widespread dissemination of the results and lessons learned, we believe that this exercise should be undertaken by a government or other entity with no commercial interest in certificate trading.

We do not wish to specify the design of such a simulation, we wish only to stress its value. The European experience provides a good example, but the US would have different considerations in the design of a TRC trading simulation. We leave the details to those implementing the simulation exercise, although individual members of the NWCC may want to provide input to the design, as well as participate in its implementation.

 
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