Business Meeting #28
Proposed Resolution in Support of a Web-based TRC Simulation for the
NWCC
May 21,
2002
The Couer d’Alene Resort
115 South Second Street
PO Box Office 7200
Couer d’Alene, Idaho 83814
(800) 688-5253 or
(208) 765-4000
Background
Trading renewable certificates is a new concept to
some, but even to those more knowledgeable, the details of market dynamics
may still be a mystery. Trading is already occurring, in voluntary retail
sales and in mandatory demand (RPS) markets. If certificate trading is to
expand, and the resulting benefits to wind power accrue, markets will need
to be larger, more transparent and more liquid, and be supported by tracking
and verification systems that work across state and regional boundaries.
There is a lot of discussion about facilitating
tradable renewable certificates (TRCs).
- The NWCC Credit Trading project has identified
Opportunities and Guidelines for trading.
- The NWCC is working to identify education and
outreach opportunities with energy and environmental regulators to gain
their support for policies facilitating wind energy and TRCs.
- Green-e has adopted a standard for certifying TRCs,
and two products have been certified so far.
- The Texas RPS requires TRCs for compliance, and the
state has established a tracking system, but not a trading platform, to
facilitate trading.
- The NEPOOL Generation Information System has just
been completed, enabling the tracking of all generation in the region,
including TRCs for marketing green power products, for electricity
labeling or disclosure purposes, and for tracking compliance with state
RPSs and generation or emission portfolio standards.
- The Center for Resource Solutions is spearheading
the development of an American Association of Issuing Bodies, modeled
after the European Association of Issuing Bodies, to standardize
protocols for tracking systems and to facilitate interregional and
international TRC trade.
There are several things still missing, including the
establishment of regional Issuing Bodies that will support cross-boundary
trade, and real market experience to understand the effects of different
market drivers and policies on the supply of, demand for, and price of TRCs.
It is to this latter point that this proposed resolution is addressed.
European infrastructure and planning for TRCs is much
more advanced than in the US. With funding from the European Union, a team
of contractors from several countries undertook the European Renewable
Electricity Certificate Trading Project (RECerT). Key elements included:
<http://recert.energyprojects.net> Structured reviews of renewable energy support
policies and the status and prospects for tradable instrument schemes in
15 EU countries and Norway.
Estimation of the potential size and value of the TRC
market in Europe.
Controlled experiments exploring TRC market
parameters, using computer aided economic simulation.
Adaptation of a manual trading simulation game for
use in workshops.
Day-long workshops held in 15 countries to examine
TRC developments.
An international conference on TRC development.
Cost-benefit analysis of TRC trading compared to
other options for supporting renewable energy development.
Design of a complex Europe-wide TRC trading
simulation, incorporating elements of actual TRC trading schemes being
developed in EU Member States.
Running the TRC simulation through a live, real-time,
Internet-enabled trading platform, providing feedback to participants and
disseminating the results.
Review of related non-TRC market developments to draw
lessons for effective TRC market design.
Final workshop in collaboration with other TRC
projects.
Information dissemination through publications and
conferences.
The European simulation exercise (called RECerT-sim)
included over 140 participants from 16 countries. Participants took the
parts of virtual generators (supplying certificates to the market), virtual
consumers such as retail energy service providers (buying certificates from
the market) and virtual traders. The simulation compressed ten years of
trading activity into ten short periods using an Internet-based trading
platform developed for the purpose. The demand-side parameters reflected
some of the complexity emerging in the market for TRCs, with demand
differentiated by size of renewables obligation (e.g., RPS), penalties for
non-compliance with RPS, technology exclusions (e.g., no large hydro),
banking of certificates, and different validity periods for certificates. On
the supply-side participants invested in new capacity all over the EU, in a
variety of technologies, based on an economic model and constrained by rate
of investment and speed of build.
This experience inspired the following proposal.
Proposed Resolution
It is the sense of the NWCC [Green Power Marketing and
Credit Trading Work Group] that a sophisticated, web-based TRC trading
simulation should be undertaken in the US involving many participants across
the country.
The objectives of such a simulation are as follows:
- Provide a learning tool for renewable electricity
generators, electricity retailers, investors, energy traders, policy
makers and advisers, and NGOs.
- Illustrate how TRCs can be created, traded and
consumed to support renewable energy growth in the US at least cost.
- Give insight into the risks and benefits of
interregional and international TRC trade to policy makers, energy and
environmental regulators, generators, retailers and the electricity
sector in general.
- Illustrate the operation of a TRC exchange and
demonstrate how market participants can mange risks through the use of
forward contracts in conjunction with spot market trading.
To ensure that the organizing the simulation does not
confer competitive advantage to a commercial interest, and to ensure
widespread dissemination of the results and lessons learned, we believe that
this exercise should be undertaken by a government or other entity with no
commercial interest in certificate trading.
We do not wish to specify the design of such a
simulation, we wish only to stress its value. The European experience
provides a good example, but the US would have different considerations in
the design of a TRC trading simulation. We leave the details to those
implementing the simulation exercise, although individual members of the
NWCC may want to provide input to the design, as well as participate in its
implementation. |